How We Work & Methodology

Permanent Methodological Protocol

Tiered Sources

Official acts define fact and parameter; multilateral bodies and academia indicate structural trends; named private research enters as a conditional projection; specialized press only signals, without figures or causal inference.

Admission Criteria

Only events with an estimable effect, plausible materialization within the edition window, and a business decision whose cost of late adoption exceeds the cost of anticipation enter the action panel.

Prior Classification

Every event moves through risk category → causal layer → transmission mechanism → company exposure, before being written up.

Comparability Across Editions

This discipline applies to any sector, client, or time horizon: quality comes from the procedure, not from the analyst's disposition.

Reference sources: Official reports from governments and multilateral organizations · market reports from public sources · bulletins from central banks and public and private financial institutions · data and reports from embassies and ministries · official acts and government gazettes of the countries monitored.